Josh Zumbrun: Job Openings At 14-Year High As Hiring Returns To Pre-Recession Levels
For the first time since January 2001, the U.S. had more than five million job openings at the end of December, a sign of a labor environment shifting in favor of workers. December was also the best month for hiring since before the recession struck more than seven years ago. More than 5.1 million people were hired in December, the most since November 2007, according to the Labor Department‘s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, known as JOLTS.
The report adds to signs that the labor market is strengthening considerably. The Labor Department’s main jobs report, released on February 6, showed that November, December and January comprised the best three-month stretch of hiring since 1997, raising hope that the U.S economy will start delivering stronger wage growth for a wider swath of Americans after more than five years of sluggish recovery from a deep recession.
Josh Boak: U.S. Job Openings In June Hit 13-Year-Plus High
U.S. employers in June advertised the most monthly job openings in more than 13 years. Employers posted 4.67 million jobs in June, up 2.1 percent from May’s total of 4.58 million, the Labor Department reported Tuesday. The number of advertised openings was the highest since February 2001, a positive sign that points to a strengthening economy. The report “provides further confirmation that the U.S. labor market has indeed shifted to a period of stronger growth,”
said Jeremy Schwartz, an analyst at the bank Credit Suisse. Known as the Job Openings and Labor Turnover survey or JOLTS, the report provides a detailed look at where employment might be heading. the pressure on employers to offer more generous wages could be increasing. On average, there are 2 unemployed workers for every job opening. That’s down from an average of 2.6 unemployed people per opening at the start of the year. As that ratio continues to fall, employers will likely have to boost salaries.
The share of unemployed Americans competing for each open job hit a six-year low in June, suggesting a labor market tightening that could give way to faster wage growth. Job openings, a measure of labor demand, increased to a seasonally adjusted 4.67 million in June, the highest level since February 2001. At the same time, hiring reached its highest point since February 2008. Job growth has topped 200,000 in each of the past six months, a stretch last seen in 1997.
The unemployment rate has declined to 6.2 percent from 6.7 percent at the end of 2013. Troy Davig, the head of research at the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, told Reuters on Monday that rising job openings suggested earnings growth was poised to move higher. “Faster wage growth certainly seems in the pipeline,” he said. “The labor market appears to be hitting a turning point.”
President Barack Obama talks with will.i.am, following an event The Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio, Oct. 9, 2012. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)
Presidential Daily Schedule (All Times Eastern)
10:15AM: Pres. Obama and VP Biden receive the Presidential Daily Briefing
12:30PM: Pres. Obama and VP Biden meet for lunch
12:30PM: Press Sec. Jay Carney briefs the press
2PM: Pres. Obama conducts regional television interviews
3PM: Pres. Obama nominates Janet Yellen for Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Ben Bernanke will be in attendance
4:30PM: Pres. Obama meets with House Democrats at the White House
NY State Of Health: NY State Of Health Announces Exchange Has Signed Up Tens Of Thousands Of New Yorkers For Low Cost Health Insurance
The NY State of Health (NYSOH), the official health plan marketplace, today announced that over 40,000 New Yorkers have signed up for quality, low-cost health insurance in just a little over one week, more than any other state reporting thus far. These 40,000 New Yorkers completed the full application process and were found eligible for health insurance plans allowing them to now choose the low-cost health care plans they applied for. The exchange was launched on October 1 marking the beginning of a six-month enrollment period offering individuals and small businesses across the state access to quality, low-cost health plans.
In addition, the State’s customer service center operators have provided assistance to more than 26,000 callers. The rates for the health plans on NYSOH represent a 53 percent reduction compared to the previous year’s individual rates. In addition to this cost-savings, it is estimated that nearly three-quarters of individual enrollees will qualify for financial assistance.
President Barack Obama is having House Democrats to the White House as a showdown over the budget extends into its ninth day. The White House says the private meeting is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. EDT Wednesday. The White House added that the president intends to invite Republicans and senators in the coming days.
The President will nominate Federal Reserve Vice Chairwoman Janet Yellen for her boss Ben Bernanke’s job, according to the Wall Street Journal. That announcement, based on multiple reports, will happen on Wednesday. Bernanke is expected to leave the Fed Chairmanship in January at the end of his term. Of course, Yellen’s nomination is subject to Senate confirmation, and Congress is a bit preoccupied with the current government shutdown and impending debt limit deadline. In other words, it’s not clear when her confirmation would make it to the top of the Senate’s to-do list.
The White House released a statement Tuesday night denying reports that the United States would suspend “all” military aid to Egypt. “The reports that we are halting all military assistance to Egypt are false,” National Security Council spokeswoman Caitlin Hayden said in a statement. CNN on Tuesday cited an unnamed U.S. official who said that an “accumulation of events” led to the U.S.’ decision on a “full suspension” of military aid to Egypt, according to Reuters.
President Barack Obama makes a statement on winning the 2009 Nobel Peace Prize in the Rose Garden of the White House, Oct. 9, 2009. (Official White House Photo by Chuck Kennedy)
Greg Sargent: GOP Shutdown Shenanigans Giving Dems A Big Recruiting Boost?
Rep. Steve Israel, who is in charge of winning House races for Democrats, told Dem lawmakers at a closed door meeting today that GOP shutdown shenanigans were giving Dems a big recruiting boost, by prompting reluctant Dem candidates to express renewed interest in running in very tough GOP-held districts.
Israel, the chair of the DCCC, also said that if the 2012 House elections had been held today, with polls showing what they are now showing, Dems would have taken back the House, according to several sources present. Israel cited a Quinnipiac poll showing Dems up by nine points in the generic House ballot matchup and a Public Policy Polling survey, commissioned by MoveOn, showing that GOP incumbents in 17 districts are trailing generic Dem challengers, and concluding that Republicans are in “grave danger of losing control of the House of Representatives.
Senior Advisors David Axelrod, left, and Valerie Jarrett along with other staff, watch from the Colonnade as President Barack Obama makes a statement on winning the 2009 Nobel Peace Prize in the Rose Garden of the White House, Oct. 9, 2009. (Official White House Photo by Lawrence Jackson)
Brian Beutler: How To End The Shutdown Mess: Introducing The Beutler Plan
It’s fair to say that the House GOP’s “strategy” in merging the government shutdown and debt limit fights is to deploy one gimmick after another in the hope that one of them effectively changes the game. Today’s is no different, but it could point the way to a mutually agreeable stand down if House Republicans agree to a simple swap.
The swap I’m proposing is this: The Senate accepts the working group plan if the House accepts the temporary funding bill and a year-long debt limit increase. That removes the threat of default for a considerable time, and reopens the government long enough for the two parties to have the negotiation Republicans now claim to want. If taxes aren’t part of the discussions, fine. That just assures they won’t go very far.
The working group plan stipulates that members “shall meet on each calendar day thereafter unless both co-chairs jointly determine that there is good cause to dispense with such meeting.” After five weeks, if Democrats won’t submit to a cuts-only approach, and Republicans won’t agree to new revenues, the group can disband, and the only threat would be another government shutdown. One that could be averted by a narrow appropriations agreement, subject to sequestration.
President Barack Obama reads over his remarks regarding the 2009 Nobel Peace Prize with Senior Advisor David Axelrod and staff in the Outer Oval Office, Oct. 9, 2009. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)
Greg Miller: CIA To Call Back Thousands Of Furloughed Employees
The CIA plans to begin calling thousands of furloughed employees back to work Wednesday, U.S. officials said, in an effort to contain the cumulative toll of a government shutdown stretching into its second week.
In a statement issued Tuesday to the CIA’s workforce, Director John Brennan cited concern about the “potential adverse cumulative and unseen impact on our national security” of furloughs that had forced employees across almost every category of the agency’s workforce to leave their jobs.
U.S. officials said that other intelligence agencies were taking similar steps but declined to disclose specifics on how many or which categories of employees would be summoned back to their jobs, citing the classified nature of their work.
President Barack Obama attends an economic meeting in the Roosevelt Room of the White House, Oct. 9, 2009. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)
Reid Wilson: Arizona Law May Restrict Voting In Local Elections
Arizona residents who registered to vote using forms provided by the federal government will not be allowed to vote in state and local elections next year, according to an opinion issued by the state’s attorney general, setting up the possibility of a two-track electoral system that will cost hundreds of thousands of dollars and impact just a small handful of voters.
In a legal opinion presented to Secretary of State Ken Bennett (R), Attorney General Tom Horne (R) said voters who registered using a federal registration form but failed to provide a document proving their citizenship are eligible to vote in federal elections, but not in state and local elections.
Horne also held that voters who registered using the federal form won’t be eligible to sign petitions for candidates or ballot initiatives. The opinion means Arizona counties will have to print two separate ballots: One set that will allow voters who used the state form to register to vote in federal, state and local elections, and one that will allow voters who used the federal form to register to vote only on federal elections.
Bryce Covert: The Government Shutdown Has Cost $1.6 Billion So Far
The government shutdown that started last Tuesday has already cost $1.6 billion in lost economic output, according to market research firm IHS Inc. Should the shutdown last through October 9, the total will come to $2 billion. That’s equivalent to the cost so far of the “biblical” flooding that has ravaged Colorado. If it lasts three to four weeks, Moody’s has estimated that the total cost to the economy could come to $55 billion. The shutdown could reduce economic output by 1.4 percent.
A U.S. Secret Service agent prepares to open the door to the Oval Office for President Barack Obama following his statement on winning the 2009 Nobel Peace Prize in the Rose Garden of the White House, Oct. 9, 2009. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)
Josh Israel: Federal Courts Expected To Run Out Of Funding Next Week If Shutdown Continues
if the federal government shutdown continues for another week, the entire federal judiciary system could run out of funding and cease normal function. According to the New York Times, once the courts’ funds are depleted, the impact — especially on lower courts — could be “disastrous,” including “extensive furloughing of staff, and reductions in probation, pretrial and courthouse security services.”
The U.S. Department of Justice, also partially paralyzed by the shutdown, has been forced to ask for delays in a wide array of civil cases. A major Federal Trade Commission anti-trust case, at least one Commodity Futures Trading Commission anti-competitive policy case, and a case brought by an injured citizen against a U.S. Postal Service driver have all been put on hold until the shutdown ends.
Over the last two years, however, as the radicalism of extremist Republican politics has intensified, the argument has gone mainstream. Both the New York Times and Politico have lengthy reports this morning on the growing number of GOP lawmakers — some in the House, some in the Senate, some new to Congress, some who’ve had lengthy congressional careers — who genuinely seem to believe the crisis they’re creating on purpose won’t be “that bad.”
The evidence is overwhelming that their argument is, among other things, dangerously insane. What they’re suggesting — the Treasury can simply “prioritize” expenditures to prevent default on our debts — is illegal and literally impossible. We are, at the risk of sounding impolite, talking about a group of ignorant radicals, with an uninterrupted track record of failed predictions, who have the fate of the global economy in their hands. Good luck to us all.
First Lady Michelle Obama greets a young girl during an autumn picnic for the U.S. Secret Service Presidential Protective Division on the South Lawn of the White House, Oct. 9, 2009. (Official White House Photo by Samantha Appleton)
President Barack Obama and Annie Glenn, wife of former Senator John Glenn, greet each other following an event at The Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio, Oct. 9, 2012. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)
Four Years Ago Today: President Obama uses a light saber during a demonstration of fencing with Tim Morehouse who won a silver medal in Men’s Saber Fencing at the Beijing Olympics, part of the U.S. Olympians youth sporting event on the South Lawn of the White House
Today (all times Eastern):
11:40: President Obama delivers remarks to mark the five-year anniversary of the financial crisis
The Five Year Anniversary of the Financial Crisis: A Look Back at the Progress We’ve Made http://t.co/u3HLbtA5Vs
7:0: President Obama delivers remarks at Música Latina: In Performance at the White House; First Lady Michelle Obama also attends. The performance will be held in the East Room and will be live streamed at White House Live. More here
USA Today: Obama to speak on 5th anniversary of financial crisis
President Obama will deliver a speech Monday on the fifth anniversary of the event that helped elect him back in 2008: The financial crisis. Obama “will be joined on-stage and in the audience by people that have benefited from his economic recovery proposals over the last five years,” the White House said in a statement, “including small business owners, construction workers, homeowners, consumers and tax cut recipients.”
Obama will use the speech to kick off a week of events devoted to the economy and budget issues.
…. A Tuesday interview on the Spanish language television network Telemundo gives Obama a chance to talk about another major domestic issue, immigration. Budget issues are likely to dominate a Wednesday speech to the Business Roundtable. And Obama is likely to emphasize the auto bailout when he travels Friday to a Ford plant in the Kansas City area.
As soon as news hit the wires that Larry Summers has withdrawn his name from consideration for chair of the Federal Reserve, the media went on a full-spin mode, likely embarrassed that just Friday, they were pimping a Japanese newspaper report trumpeting Summers as the chosen one. Ezra Klein, who’d been part of the media build-up toward that ‘inevitability,’ if along with his opposition to it.
This is where a little Obama Derangement Syndrome seeped in. Ezra, along with his peers in the beltway media – dude, get out a little from you Post office and the MSNBC studios; it’ll do you some good – wasn’t just convinced that Summers would be a bad choice, but that Obama would pick him just to take pleasure in some hippie-punching, i.e. just to piss off establishment media liberals like Klein.
Had a good chuckle at these two headlines at Business Insider – here we go again: damned if he does, damned if he doesn’t. Yawn:
TPM: Biden: ‘The Tail Is Wagging The Dog’ In Today’s GOP
Vice President Joe Biden warned donors and activists of a fundamental shift in the Republican party at an Iowa fundraiser Sunday, calling today’s GOP a “different breed of cat” and taking a shot at the leadership of Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX).
“This is not your father’s Republican Party,” he told a crowd just before Sen. Tom Harkin’s (D) annual steak fry, according to a pool report. “We’re dealing with a different breed of cat as my uncle used to say. These guys aren’t bad. I’m not making moral judgments, but they have a fundamentally different view of America than we do – a fundamentally different view.”
Bob Cesca: The Goalpost for Success Was the Disarmament of Syria’s WMD, So the U.S. Won an Historic Victory
Saturday marked an historic event future generations will read about in books. Over the weekend, Russia and the United States reached an accord over the question of the Syrian government’s stockpiles of chemical weapons, most recently used against civilians late last month.
Whether the United States “won” depends entirely upon your definition of victory. Personally, I define victory in terms of the stated goal of the administration’s actions of the past three weeks: to destroy Syria’s chemical weapons to prevent another attack on Syrian civilians.
If Obama persuaded Assad to step down and move to Siberia, the critics would still find something to whine about. Michael Tomasky deflates the arguments against the new arms deal.
I don’t know about you, but I’m not very interested in being lectured that Bashar al-Assad has no real intention of giving up his chemical weapons by the very same people who a decade ago were pushing this country into war — and having the deranged gall to call the rest of us unpatriotic — on the argument that there was no possible way a monster like Saddam Hussein had given up his chemical weapons. Barack Obama has been forced to spend about 70 percent of his presidential energies trying to repair crises foreign and domestic that these people created, and forced to do so against their iron opposition on all fronts; and now that he’s achieved a diplomatic breakthrough, they have the audacity to argue that he sold America out to Vladimir Putin? It’s staggering and sickening.
Steve Benen: The right struggles to hide its disappointment with diplomatic progress
A couple of years ago, after the United States and its allies used military force to help remove the Gadhafi’s government from Libya, Sens. John McCain and Lindsey Graham issued one of my favorite Republican press releases ever. The two senators, who had eagerly spent months touting U.S. military action in Libya, issued a joint statement commending the “British, French, and other allies, as well as our Arab partners, especially Qatar and the UAE.”
McCain and Graham eventually said Americans can be “proud of the role our country” played, but they nevertheless condemned the Obama administration’s “failure” to act in Libya the way the GOP senators preferred.
It was striking at the time for its bitterness – the United States had achieved its strategic goals, but instead of celebrating or applauding Obama’s success, Republicans pouted and whined.
Climate science skeptics have derailed a congressional proposal to create the honorary position of U.S. science laureate. But proponents haven’t abandoned the idea of giving someone a national platform to foster public understanding of science and serve as a role model.
….. the U.S. House of Representatives was expected to give swift approval to a bill introduced this spring by a bipartisan coalition of legislators in both the House and the Senate….
The bill was never discussed in any committee, however, and Larry Hart of the American Conservative Union hit the roof when he saw it on the House calendar for the next day. In a letter to other conservative organizations and every House member, Hart said the bill would give President Barack Obama the opportunity to appoint someone “who will share his view that science should serve political ends, on such issues as climate change and regulation of greenhouse gases.”….
For the record, I don’t think President Obama has any magical powers, or that he plays 11th dimensional chess, or that he bluffs, or that he’s merely lucky. What I do think is that he develops his North Star, takes the long view, and enters negotiations from the standpoint of finding both/and solutions (partnerships) rather than engage in the power games of either/or (dominance).
Several people are pointing to a fascinating blog post by Jim Stuart where he talks about President Obama being an integral leader. If you haven’t already read it, please do so!
President Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama watch Olympian Ryan Reser, in white, and Paralympian Myles Porter during a judo demonstration, part of the U.S. Olympians youth sporting event on the South Lawn of the White House, Sept. 16, 2009 (Photo by Pete Souza)
….. watching a balance beam demonstration hosted by gymnast Dominique Dawes, far left, on the South Lawn of the White House, Sept. 16, 2009. Also pictured are Senior Advisor Valerie Jarrett (second from left) and former Olympic athlete Jackie Joyner Kersee (in white shirt) (Pete Souza)
President Obama fist-bumps VP Biden, as Senior Advisor Valerie Jarrett looks on, before a meeting in the Oval Office, Sept. 16, 2010 (Pete Souza)
President Obama, First Lady Michelle Obama, and Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi arrive for the Congressional Hispanic Caucus Institute’s 32nd Annual Awards Gala dinner in Washington, D.C., on Sept. 16, 2009 (Pete Souza)
President Obama waits in his limousine after the motorcade arrived at Westchester County Airport, N.Y., on a rainy night, Sept. 16, 2010 (Pete Souza)
MooooOOOOoooorning, Happy Monday!
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