Rise and Shine

On This Day: President Obama greets a young supporter at a campaign rally for gubernatorial candidate Creigh Deeds in Tyson’s Corner Va., on Aug. 6, 2009 (Photo by Pete Souza)

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Today (All Times Eastern)

10:0: The President delivers remarks and participates in Session One of the U.S.-Africa Leaders Summit at the State Department: Investing in Africa’s Future.

12:30: Participates in Session Two: Peace and Regional Stability

2:30: Participates in Session Three: Governing the Next Generation

5:0: Holds a press conference, State Department

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10:0: First Lady Michelle Obama, in partnership with former First Lady Laura Bush and the Bush Institute, will host a day-long spouses symposium at the Kennedy Center focused on the impact of investments in education, health, and public-private partnerships.

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• • •

Jonathan Cohn: Obamacare’s Impact On The Uninsured, State By State: Where Officials Wanted It To Work, It Did

Need another reminder of why Obamacare’s impact depends heavily on the state where you live? Gallup has one for you. On Tuesday, the organization published a state-by-state breakdown of how the law has affected the rate of uninsurance, at least according to its polling. Arkansas seemed to make the most progress: In that state, by Gallup’s reckoning, the ranks of the uninsured fell by 10.1 percentage points. Next was Kentucky, at 8.5 percentage points. The states that made the most headway covering the uninsured,

according to Gallup, are states in which officials decided to build their own insurance marketplaces and to make all low-income people eligible for Medicaid, as the Affordable Care Act originally envisioned. The Medicaid expansion is obviously the big factor here, because it meant many more people (into the millions, in the largest states) became eligible for government-subsidized insurance. But it’s safe to assume that the states that undertook both steps were also the ones that put the most thought and effort into promoting the program.

More here

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Michelle Jamrisko: Services In U.S. Expand At Fastest Pace Since 2005

Service industries such as builders and retailers grew in July at the fastest pace since December 2005, signaling the U.S. economy was hitting its stride entering the second half of 2014. The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing index increased to 58.7, exceeding the highest estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists, from the prior month’s 56, the Tempe, Arizona-based group’s report showed today. Readings greater than 50 indicate expansion. The median estimate in the Bloomberg survey called for 56.5.

Prospects for the world’s largest economy are improving as the group’s orders index reached an almost nine-year high, reflecting broad-based gains. Combined with another report showing factory bookings are also jumping, the pickup in demand raises the odds the job market will extend its recent progress. “We’re seeing numbers that we haven’t seen since well before the financial crisis and recession, and they seem to be more sustained,” said Terry Sheehan, an economist at Stone & McCarthy Research Associates in Princeton, New Jersey, whose ISM index projection of 57 was among the highest in the Bloomberg survey. The strengthening is “pretty much across the board for business activity, new orders and employment.”

More here

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• • •

Shobhana Chandra: Trade Gap Shrinks To Five-Month Low As U.S. Imports Drop

The trade deficit in the U.S. unexpectedly narrowed in June, reflecting the biggest drop in imports in a year as the economy moved closer to energy independence. The gap shrank 7 percent to $41.5 billion, the smallest since January, from May’s $44.7 billion, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of 66 economists called for a deficit of $44.8 billion. The drop in purchases of foreign goods included declines in autos and cellular phones, while petroleum imports were the lowest in more than three years.

Demand for goods made overseas will probably rebound in coming months, helped by growing household spending and business investment. Exports were little changed at a record, a sign markets overseas will represent less growth for American factories as Europe’s economy struggles to pick up and geopolitical tensions mount. “Imports are going to bounce back because of the strength of the U.S. consumer,” said Jay Bryson, global economist at Wells Fargo Securities LLC in Charlotte, North Carolina. “The U.S. is doing better than most advanced countries.”

More here

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• • •

Roberto A. Ferdman: Why Immigrants Are The Best Thing That Happened To Medicare

America’s growing immigrant population might not be all that bad for the country’s health-care system. In fact, it’s probably playing an important role in helping to keep it afloat. U.S. immigrants’ net contribution to Medicare’s Hospital Insurance Trust Fund, the program’s core funding source, was $183 billion between 1996 and 2011. US-born Americans? Negative $69 billion, according to a new report by the Partnership for the New American Economy, an immigration advocacy group. That means that immigrants have been pumping a lot more money in than they take out, while the rest of the population has been doing just the opposite. On a per person basis, immigrants contributed $62 more per person to the trust fund than the U.S.-born, and claim $172 less in benefits.

By the institute’s estimates, the cash contributed by immigrants over the 16-year span was more than a mere inconsequential boost. “Our analysis indicates that non-citizen immigrants, a group that includes both authorized and unauthorized immigrants, played a particularly large role subsidizing the care of the U.S.-born population,” the report says. The net $183 billion contribution was enough to ensure the prolonged buoyancy of Medicare trust fund, which according to the most recent projection will remain solvent through 2030.

More here

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• • •

On This Day

President Obama carries a cake into the Oval Office for a birthday party for Phil Schiliro, assistant to the president for legislative affairs, on Aug. 6, 2009 (Photo by Pete Souza)

President Obama waits to speak at a campaign rally for gubernatorial candidate Creigh Deeds in Tyson’s Corner Va., on Aug. 6, 2009 (Photo by Pete Souza)

President Obama waits backstage to speak at a reception in Tyson’s Corner Va., for gubernatorial candidate Creigh Deeds, on Aug. 6, 2009 (Photo by Pete Souza)

 President Obama speaks at a campaign rally for gubernatorial candidate Creigh Deeds in Tyson’s Corner Va., on Aug. 6, 2009 (Photo by Pete Souza)

President Obama shakes hands at a reception in Tyson’s Corner Va., for gubernatorial candidate Creigh Deeds, on Aug. 6, 2009 (Photo by Pete Souza)

• • •

President Obama walks into the Oval Office with newly confirmed Supreme Court Justice Elena Kagan, Aug. 6, 2010 (Photo by Pete Souza)

President Obama signs Elena Kagan’s commission in the Oval Office, before a reception in the East Room celebrating her confirmation to the Supreme Court, Aug. 6, 2010 (Photo by Pete Souza)

President Obama visits with Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg and newly confirmed Supreme Court Justice Elena Kagan in the Blue Room of the White House, prior to Kagan’s confirmation reception in the East Room, Aug. 6, 2010 (Photo by Pete Souza)

• • •

President Obama is briefed on the tragedy in Afghanistan by Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, Adm. Mike Mullen, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, National Security Advisor Tom Donilon, Chief of Staff Bill Daley, and national security staff, at Camp David, Aug. 6, 2011 (Photo by Pete Souza)

• • •

Members of the press document President Obama during the Honoring America’s Veterans and Caring for Camp Lejeune Families Act of 2012 signing ceremony in the Oval Office, Aug. 6, 2012. (Official White House Photo by Sonya N. Hebert)

• • •

President Obama takes the stage to deliver remarks on housing and home ownership at Desert Vista High School in Phoenix, Ariz., Aug. 6, 2013 (Photo by Pete Souza)

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President Obama joins Jay Leno for a taping of the “The Tonight Show with Jay Leno” in Burbank, Calif., Aug. 6, 2013 (Photo by Pete Souza)

• • •

135 Responses to “Rise and Shine”

  1. 1 Allison
    August 6, 2014 at 9:58 am

    GM All!

  2. 5 vcprezofan2
    August 6, 2014 at 10:00 am

    Morning, NerdyW!

  3. 6 Nerdy Wonka
    August 6, 2014 at 10:02 am

    President Obama will be speaking soon.

  4. August 6, 2014 at 10:04 am

    Thanks a gazillion Nerdy, and sorry for the muck-up over posting, another ridiculous WP glitch that posts a post when the draft was created, not when you click publish 🙄

    • 12 japa21
      August 6, 2014 at 10:26 am

      Since I am much of a fan of Carville, I almost didn’t click. Glad that I did. He hits the big question when looking at how experts are predicting a GOP win in November.

      The favorable differential is reflected in self-described party ID. Remember, pollsters said long ago not to pay as much attention to how a voter is registered as how a voter identifies him or herself. According to the ABC/Washington Post poll, 32 percent of Americans identify themselves as Democrats versus only 22 percent who claim to be Republicans. Other polls, including from Democracy Corps, have shown similar gaps in both party image and self-described political identification. I do not doubt that Wasserman and Silver have arrived at their consensus out of anything other than a high degree of professionalism. I just wonder why they are placing such a large bet on a party that so few people like and even less want to identify with.

      Read more: http://thehill.com/opinion/james-carville/214414-james-carville-are-we-facing-a-gop-takeover-in-2014#ixzz39cd07YlE
      Follow us: @thehill on Twitter | TheHill on Facebook

      • 13 Vicki
        August 6, 2014 at 11:08 am

        Carville’s opinion is worthless to me. A RW Corporate tool pretending to be a democrat.

        • 14 japa21
          August 6, 2014 at 11:33 am

          Generally I agree with you. I left out a word above. It was supposed to read am not much of a fan. However, this article was pretty much spot on and supports what a lot of us have been saying.

    • 15 amk for obama
      August 6, 2014 at 10:31 am

      Isn’t nate a poll aggregator and not a pollster ? When you have a series of crappy polls with suspect poll participants and gop oriented poll questions, his prediction is bound to be inaccurate at this point. The question is whether he relies on reliable & unbiased pollsters (of which I don’t see any) or all the crappy pollsters out there.

      • 16 hopefruit2
        August 6, 2014 at 10:52 am

        Little Nate refuses to consider the reliability of the pollster when aggregating his polling data. Spandan called him out on this back in 2012, when he repeatedly used some very questionable pollsters’ data with the justification that the “reliable” polls will balance out the “unreliable” ones. No, Nate, the unreliable polls are equally weighted and will drag down the overall models as to bias them – usually in the GOP’s favor. Of course, Little Nate knows this but he thinks that most people are stupid – or at least less smart than him. Then within a week or two of the actual elections, he quickly adjusts his models to reflect reality (by dropping the bogus polling data)…and then people give him all praise, honor and glory for being such a magical predictor of the elections…

        • 17 amk for obama
          August 6, 2014 at 10:56 am

          Yup, I remember him pulling that last minute stunt in 2102. Sam Wang and Drew Linzer were more steady since they ignored the ‘noise’.

        • August 6, 2014 at 11:10 am

          I don’t know about him thinking people are stupid. Nate got it right it 2012. It’s just Sam Wang got it more right.

        • 23 Vicki
          August 6, 2014 at 11:12 am

          Nate was on Bill Maher’s panel a few weeks ago and nobody looked at him and he was virtually silent.
          Nate Silver has been unmasked as the tool he has become and was ignored entirely in a venue that in 2012 was kissing his feet.
          Nate, ABC News employee, (Laura Ingraham’s new home) is done.

  5. 25 JER
    August 6, 2014 at 10:10 am

    First Lady is speaking now.

  6. 27 Nerdy Wonka
    August 6, 2014 at 10:12 am

  7. 37 JER
    August 6, 2014 at 10:18 am

    POTUS is speaking now.

  8. August 6, 2014 at 10:49 am

    Well that’s interesting. One of the most reactionary Republicans on my face book feed (a young man with a crummy job he hates and massive student debt – go figure) just liked Ed Schultz. O.o

  9. 43 desertflower
    August 6, 2014 at 10:54 am

    Morning!! http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/poll-obamacare-subsidies-halbig

    A new poll has found that a substantial majority of respondents believe that Obamacare’s subsidies should be available to everyone, regardless of whether they purchase coverage on a state or federal insurance exchange.

    The Morning Consult poll, first reported by the Washington Post on Tuesday, found that 58 percent of registered voters said that all exchanges — federal and state — should offer the law’s financial assistance. That puts them at odds with the law’s latest legal challengers, who argue Obamacare prohibits subsidies on federal exchanges.

  10. August 6, 2014 at 10:59 am

    Dudette, I thought of you when I saw this!

    WATCH: Surreal Time-Lapse Video of California Parks at Night
    Images of star trails set off by giant sequoia trees and craggy cliffs were shot over two nights in June during the summer solstice. Bonus: out-of-this-world views of the Milky Way and meteorites.


  11. August 6, 2014 at 11:05 am

  12. 49 amk for obama
    August 6, 2014 at 11:05 am

    Just watched UN chief Ban Ki-moon speaking about I/P. Not impressed at all, both style and substance.

  13. 50 anniebella
    August 6, 2014 at 11:13 am

    Former President Bush is speaking now. I appreciate what he and his wife are doing for the people in Africa..

  14. 51 amk for obama
    August 6, 2014 at 11:25 am


    Silver has done something common among paid writers, which is to do what it takes to attract eyeballs. He has rounded a probability that is barely over 50% to make the statement that one side is ahead.

    This problem is endemic to journalism. Nuance with probabilities is just lost on most people. But writers are just trying to appeal to their readers. The real headline is “WE DON’T KNOW” but somehow that is not what gets the lead. Really, he’s caved in to all of you!

    Basically, whenever you see a probability like that, you should mentally say “plus or minus 20%” just to get the right idea. Of course, if the probability gets above 80% that doesn’t make sense any more. At that point, it’s OK to say that one side is ahead.


    • 52 hopefruit2
      August 6, 2014 at 11:29 am

      Exactly…Little Nate thinks people are stupid. He plays the game of “boost GOP morale; demoralize Dems” and covers his arse at the same time. When it gets closer to the actual election, he adjusts his models and then says aha…I predicted right!

      He has learned the corporate game of journalistic malpractice…

  15. 53 hopefruit2
    August 6, 2014 at 11:29 am

  16. 56 vcprezofan2
    August 6, 2014 at 11:30 am

    Here’s a good reason I don’t listen to the news (except when I’m in my car) – it does nothing for my blood pressure. I went on the road for about 20 minutes and was both infuriated and ’embarrassed’, though all the while thinking how TOD villagers would react to both. Yessiree, ‘My name is VC and I’m a TOD addict!’

    1. There’s this daily programme called ‘Q’ (which I suppose is popular), and there was a promo for a surveillance debate between Michael Hayden and ” ” journalist ” “…… guess who? Fortunately for my pressure, I was back at home before the “journalist” aired his teaser. 🙄

    2. This one is for Zizi. I heard that Ghana beat Canada in the first game for the U-20 FIFA Women’s World Cup tournament. I hadn’t heard anything about a tournament.

    • August 6, 2014 at 12:12 pm

      Hayden is a fav of odious GG. In fact I think GG’s bulk of “work” for $250 million of @Pierre’s money has been interviews with Hayden or himself, LOL.

      • 58 vcprezofan2
        August 6, 2014 at 12:21 pm

        Oh! The little bit of the teaser I heard gave me the impressions Hayden was on the pro-surveillance for ‘safety’ side.

        Yes, GG was the “journalist” mentioned. I didn’t hear his part of the teaser though I was quite ticked that he was being given a forum in my air space.

  17. August 6, 2014 at 11:36 am

    For those unfamiliar with the relationship of African countries to the rest of the world, here’s an informative article:

    U.S. moves to cash in on African economic promise

    From the article:
    – $14 billion in American private investment in Africa for construction, clean energy, banking and information technology
    – Federal and industry commitments now total about $33 billion

    “It reminds me of China when I first went there in 2001,” [Robert] Blackwell [Chicago-based Electronic Knowledge Interchange CEO] said, conceding that it’s far from risk-free. “But I think it’s a huge opportunity.”

    snip /

    Africa’s middle class is budding, and it is entering a so-called demographic sweet spot in which better health and declining fertility rates — which allows more women to have jobs — are boosting Africa’s working-age population, said Margaret McMillan, a Tufts University economics professor who specializes in Africa… “It’s just amazing,” she said of the capital of Rwanda, a nation once torn by ethnic conflict. “The city is clean. They don’t allow plastic bags.”

    snip /

    American exports of goods to Africa totaled about $35 billion last year, largely machinery, vehicles and wheat. That was up from $28 billion in 2010. But it was still a fraction of total U.S. shipments of $1.6 trillion worldwide.

    And on the renewable energy front:

    Still, for individual American companies, the potential is huge, particularly for those in the energy business. About 70% of sub-Saharan Africans live without access to electricity, and more African nations, including Nigeria, recently have moved to open up opportunities to the private sector.

    snip /

    SolarReserve, a Santa Monica CA-based company founded in 2008 is considering bidding for a “thermal energy plant using molten salt technology, similar to a solar power facility that the company is developing in Crescent Dunes, Nev.”

    * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *

    The Chicago CEO says that opportunities in Africa remind him of China thirteen years ago (2001).

    Exciting opportunities for everyone, especially because African countries can leapfrog into the 21st century without having to replace outmoded technology (e.g., land line phones, etc.).

  18. 60 amk for obama
    August 6, 2014 at 11:39 am


    Drew Linzer

    Image and video hosting by TinyPic


    Nate Silver

    Image and video hosting by TinyPic

    • August 6, 2014 at 11:51 am

      Yeah I think Sam Wang’s was about the same as Drew’s. Nate seems to have had some extreme fluctuations around the home stretch.

      • 62 hopefruit2
        August 6, 2014 at 12:10 pm

        Nate’s models fluctuated with the MSM’s “Mittmentum” and “Romney surging” and “First Debate” memes,,,so of course he had to drastically bring them back to reality close to the election to avoid losing his reputation as a credible poll aggregator. He had already lost that reputation for me.

        • August 6, 2014 at 12:20 pm

          That’s too bad because he had it right. It’s funny because even the FOX poll of the time over I guess about a six month period had PBO out in front with no fluctuation all the way up to election day.

  19. 64 donna dem 4 obama
    August 6, 2014 at 11:44 am

    Good Morning TOD!

      August 6, 2014 at 12:48 pm


  20. 66 amk for obama
    August 6, 2014 at 11:47 am

  21. 67 hopefruit2
    August 6, 2014 at 11:55 am

  22. 68 desertflower
    August 6, 2014 at 12:00 pm

    It’s freaky to me how she always gets things right:)


    In the mean time. I have new neighbors that bought a house next to mine. Everyone’s house is locked up around here in the summer because we all have our air conditioners cranked 24/7…and I can STILL her their yappy dog barking…and it HAS BEEN BARKING, steadily, for the last hour!! W T F !!! I HATE barking dogs…my dog never barked unless someone came to the door…as she should have. How do you NOT hear your dog barking and bring it in? First of all…let’s think of the dog’s wellbeing..it’s flipping too hot outside to leave your dog out…AZ in the summer is an oven. I don’t care how much water you leave outside…Tell you what, I have to tutor, then stop by school, then I might just have to go over and introduce myself and lay out the why’s and where for’s….I saw a Michigan license plate…”Figures!!” says the OSU Buckeye:) So…would I be out of line??

    • August 6, 2014 at 12:11 pm

      No, you would not be out of line. We all know you would be diplomatic…….yes, even to the Wolverine. :). That is dangerous for the dog and certainly not a good start with their new neighbors.

      • August 6, 2014 at 12:16 pm

        I would also say that the poor dog needs extra TLC, not only for the reasons you mentioned, but if they brought the dog with them from Michigan, it is in a new environment and is barking because it is scared.

    • 71 GGail
      August 6, 2014 at 12:16 pm

      No df – for the safety of the animal – you have every right to introduce yourself and speak up on behalf of the pooch. Also there are Noise laws that maybe the new neighbor should be made aware of.

      We know you will be tactful.

    • August 6, 2014 at 12:16 pm

      Agree with you, DF, here for moral support.

      It’s animal cruelty to leave a pet outside in 110F weather — if the dog starts digging a hole, he’s just trying to escape the heat, poor thing.

      Dogs don’t have sweat glands, please shelter your pet! (to your neighbor)

      • 73 desertflower
        August 6, 2014 at 12:26 pm

        Thanks to all of you… 🙂 I will go bring some buckeyes over ( kidding!) and introduce myself….no, I’ll bring a fruit basket or cookies or something…mention all of that to them…thanks!

  23. August 6, 2014 at 12:07 pm

    12:05 The President participates in a family photo with leaders

  24. 75 GGail
    August 6, 2014 at 12:13 pm

    Good West Coast morning NW, Chipsticks & TOD family.

    Cameroon’s First Lady sure does have a LOT of hair.


  25. 82 Dudette
    August 6, 2014 at 12:13 pm

    Good Morning Family!

    Some art for your morning enjoyment! Bobfr will like this one!

  26. 88 donna dem 4 obama
    August 6, 2014 at 12:23 pm

  27. August 6, 2014 at 12:26 pm

    Wow, Dr Jill looks AMAZING!

  28. August 6, 2014 at 12:26 pm

  29. 110 Dudette
    August 6, 2014 at 12:29 pm

  30. 111 Dudette
    August 6, 2014 at 12:30 pm

  31. 112 hopefruit2
    August 6, 2014 at 12:32 pm

    Chips I no longer seem to see where you used to have the TOD archives by year/month..where we could go back and see the posts from say two years ago at this time. I only see a calendar for this year. Did you by any chance remove the archives? 🙂

    • August 6, 2014 at 12:37 pm

      Oh Hopefruit, thank you for the reminder!! There was a monster WP glitch with the dropdown menu a few weeks back and they said they were working on it, will check now to see if it was fixed.

    • August 6, 2014 at 12:40 pm

      It’s working! It’s back! Thank yoooooou Hopefruit!!!

    • 117 vcprezofan2
      August 6, 2014 at 12:41 pm

      Hopef, you really are my administrative assistant! I was looking for those very year/month TOD archives yesterday when I was searching for the first picture of /whisper/ dannyo! Of course, I gave up after about 35 minutes of trying to access July 2013 and going from post to post, etc. Good luck with your more rational approach! 😀

      • 118 hopefruit2
        August 6, 2014 at 12:41 pm

        And voila – Chips has fixed it for us! 🙂

        • 119 vcprezofan2
          August 6, 2014 at 12:45 pm

          I don’t know why I never thought of using your method! [ 😉 1 reason was that I was trying to come at the info without dannyo being aware, but gave up after my search failed.] You are well-deserving of your role as administrative assistant! TY

      • August 6, 2014 at 12:45 pm

        😆 You poor thing!!! The searchy function is bad enough on the site without having to go through 97,362 posts to find something!!

        • 122 vcprezofan2
          August 6, 2014 at 12:53 pm

          Now you tell me! I seem to have a penchant for finding the most difficult approach to a problem. /smh/

          You know I didn’t really think seriously that you had changed things around ( I mean why would you? 🙄 ). I kinda thought I must have myself forgotten how to access the year/month thingy, so I tried several different combinations, getting all kind of responses. My last resort was to try the day-to-day, post-to-post approach, until I got fed up. /shaking my fist at you in retrospect/

          • 123 Nena20409
            August 6, 2014 at 1:37 pm

            You are an amazing Upbeat person, VC. ❤ your ways of doing things. You can't believe how many times you in particular has cracked me up. Amk, Chips, Dudette, etc in that order.

  32. 125 Dudette
    August 6, 2014 at 12:34 pm

  33. August 6, 2014 at 12:35 pm

  34. 127 Dudette
    August 6, 2014 at 12:35 pm

  35. 128 Dudette
    August 6, 2014 at 12:39 pm

  36. 129 Dudette
    August 6, 2014 at 12:40 pm

  37. 130 Dudette
    August 6, 2014 at 12:40 pm

  38. 131 Dudette
    August 6, 2014 at 12:41 pm

  39. 134 Dudette
    August 6, 2014 at 12:46 pm

  40. August 6, 2014 at 12:48 pm


    Just took a look at the nbc poll linked to earlier.

    Have never seen such a skewed introduction by an outlet other than Fox News, Breitbart, etc. in my life.

    Don’t bother clicking if you haven’t already.

    Most of the article is spent trying to convince the reader that the Great Recession is what will motivate voters. Newsflash, NBC, that happened 6 years ago — we’re in recovery summer. Agree absolutely that the majority of middle class Americans were adversely affected by that disaster — but it’s now a historical fact, not something that people are gnashing their teeth about, unlike in Nov 2008.

    Then they have the unmitigated gall to say “With the midterm elections less than three months away, the NBC/WSJ poll finds 44 percent of voters preferring a GOP-controlled Congress, and 43 percent preferring a Democratic-controlled one.”

    Uh, NBC, have you never heard of + or – margin of error? Don’t have to delve into the crosstabs to know that this is GOP/Koch/MSM manufactured propaganda. Beyond unprofessional.

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